最优气候相似法及其在降水预报中的应用   总被引：2，自引：0，他引：2  

刘兵 《气象》2004,30(5):7-11

介绍了一种短期气候预测方法———最优气候相似法 ,并应用于张家界地区 1 999～ 2 0 0 2年 5～ 7月总降水预报中 ,结果显示最优气候相似法能够有效地提高短期气候的预测能力 ,特别对气候异常具有良好的反应能力 ,适合于短期气候业务预报。  相似文献   

成都市区域化探深层样品元素异常与物探重、磁异常及遥感解译构造的关系     

唐将  赵琦  沈前斌  雷家立 《物探与化探》2004,28(5):415-417

通过深层样化探异常与物探重力、航磁和遥感解译关系的研究,认为深层样元素异常是由隐伏构造指示元素Au、Hg,与重力负异常有关的酸性岩元素Sn、Be、F、Y,与航磁正异常有关的基性岩元素Fe、Co、Ni、V、Cr和与地层有关元素Cd、C、Tl四部分组成;解释了深层样元素异常的原因,开拓出区域化探与区域物探、遥感解译相结合的新路。  相似文献   

新疆阿尔金山清水泉-花泉子地区地球化学特征     

赵志强  马战友  杜晓冉  李铭 《物探与化探》2004,28(6):509-511

在新疆阿尔金南缘断裂带中段的清水泉-花泉子地区,水系沉积物异常多呈带状沿断裂带分布,基性、超基性杂岩体是引起大而强异常的主要原因.通过对岩石化学特征和微量元素、稀土元素地球化学特征的剖析,表明其是同一岩浆结晶分异的产物,本区主要矿产应为铜,辉长辉绿岩是主要的含矿层位.经过加大了力度勘查,最终提交铜资源量15万 t.  相似文献   

个旧锡矿阿西寨矿段化探异常分带及找矿意义     

陶琰  高振敏  马德云  李晓彪  普传杰  李红阳 《矿物学报》2004,24(2):143-148

通过对个旧锡矿阿西寨矿段地表基岩的地球化学勘查。发现其成矿元素的地球化学异常表现出明显的环状分带，并以测区内隐伏花岗岩凸起为中心，元素分带序列与元素本身的地球化学性质所决定的侧向迁移活动能力相符合。该现象再次证实个旧锡矿为花岗岩岩浆期后热液成矿，花岗岩是大多数成矿金属元素的物质来源，同时也是成矿热液活动的主要驱动营力。分析认为，阿西寨测区是一个相对较完整和独立的(凸起)成矿场，成矿热液活动以阿西寨凸起为中心。成矿热液活动体系受断裂导流影响，在以花岗岩凸起为中心的分带控制下，可能存在的工业矿体将在主干断裂附近和有利的构造岩性界面产出。  相似文献   

Gravity anomalies and associated tectonic features over the Indian Peninsular Shield and adjoining ocean basins     

D.C. Mishra  K. Arora  V.M. Tiwari 《Tectonophysics》2004,379(1-4):61-76

A combined gravity map over the Indian Peninsular Shield (IPS) and adjoining oceans brings out well the inter-relationships between the older tectonic features of the continent and the adjoining younger oceanic features. The NW–SE, NE–SW and N–S Precambrian trends of the IPS are reflected in the structural trends of the Arabian Sea and the Bay of Bengal suggesting their probable reactivation. The Simple Bouguer anomaly map shows consistent increase in gravity value from the continent to the deep ocean basins, which is attributed to isostatic compensation due to variations in the crustal thickness. A crustal density model computed along a profile across this region suggests a thick crust of 35–40 km under the continent, which reduces to 22/20–24 km under the Bay of Bengal with thick sediments of 8–10 km underlain by crustal layers of density 2720 and 2900/2840 kg/m³. Large crustal thickness and trends of the gravity anomalies may suggest a transitional crust in the Bay of Bengal up to 150–200 km from the east coast. The crustal thickness under the Laxmi ridge and east of it in the Arabian Sea is 20 and 14 km, respectively, with 5–6 km thick Tertiary and Mesozoic sediments separated by a thin layer of Deccan Trap. Crustal layers of densities 2750 and 2950 kg/m³ underlie sediments. The crustal density model in this part of the Arabian Sea (east of Laxmi ridge) and the structural trends similar to the Indian Peninsular Shield suggest a continent–ocean transitional crust (COTC). The COTC may represent down dropped and submerged parts of the Indian crust evolved at the time of break-up along the west coast of India and passage of Reunion hotspot over India during late Cretaceous. The crustal model under this part also shows an underplated lower crust and a low density upper mantle, extending over the continent across the west coast of India, which appears to be related to the Deccan volcanism. The crustal thickness under the western Arabian Sea (west of the Laxmi ridge) reduces to 8–9 km with crustal layers of densities 2650 and 2870 kg/m³ representing an oceanic crust.  相似文献   

Slab behaviour and its surface expression: new insights from gravity modelling in the SE-Carpathians   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

Blanka Sperner  Dumitru Ioane  Robert J. Lillie 《Tectonophysics》2004,382(1-2):51-84

We use lithosphere-scale gravity models to calculate gravity anomalies resulting from oceanic subduction, continental collision, slab steepening, delamination, and break-off. Local isostasy was assumed for determining vertical movements caused by mass changes related to these tectonic processes. Our results show that subduction is accompanied by basin subsidence on the upper plate caused by the heavy lithospheric root of the subducting slab. The basin evolution goes parallel with the slab evolution and shows considerable modifications when the processes at depth change (slab steepening, delamination, break-off). Characteristic gravity anomaly curves were acquired for the different tectonic scenarios. These curves together with other data (e.g. basin evolution on the upper and the lower plate) were used for the reconstruction of the tectonic evolution of the SE-Carpathians which includes Tertiary subduction and collision followed by slab steepening and delamination.  相似文献   

Discrimination between climate and human-induced dryland degradation   总被引：21，自引：0，他引：21  

Jason Evans  Roland Geerken 《Journal of Arid Environments》2004,57(4):535

In this study we present a technique to discriminate between climate or human-induced dryland degradation, based on evaluations of AVHRR NDVI data and rainfall data. Since dryland areas typically have high inter-annual rainfall variations and rainfall has a dominant role in determining vegetation growth, minor biomass trends imposed by human influences are difficult to verify. By performing many linear regression calculations between different periods of accumulated precipitation and the annual NDVI_max, we identify the rainfall period that is best related to the NDVI_max and by this the proportion of biomass triggered by rainfall. Positive or negative deviations in biomass from this relationship, expressed in the residuals, are interpreted as human-induced. We discuss several approaches that use either a temporally fixed NDVI peaking time or an absolute one, a best mean rainfall period for the entire drylands or the best rainfall period for each individual pixel. Advantages and disadvantages of either approach or one of its combinations for discriminating between climate and human-induced degradation are discussed. Depending on the particular land-use either method has advantages. To locate areas with a high likelihood of human-induced degradation we therefore recommend combining results from each approach.  相似文献   

A dynamic model for the Iceland Plume and the North Atlantic based on tomography and gravity data   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

Gabriele Marquart  Harro Schmeling 《Geophysical Journal International》2004,159(1):40-52

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近50年中国地面气候变化基本特征   总被引：403，自引：14，他引：403  

任国玉  郭军  徐铭志  初子莹  张莉  邹旭凯  李庆祥  刘小宁 《气象学报》2005,63(6):942-956

采用国家基准气候站和基本气象站的地面资料,系统地分析了中国大陆地区1951年以来近地表主要气候要素演化的时间和空间特征。结果表明,中国近50 a来年平均地表气温变暖幅度约为1.1℃,增温速率接近0.22℃/(10 a),比全球或半球同期平均增温速率明显偏高。地表气温增暖主要发生在最近的20余年,其季节和空间特征与前人分析结论基本一致。降水量变化趋势对所取时间段和区域范围敏感。1951年以来全国平均降水量变化趋势不明显,但1956年以来略有增加。降水变化的空间特征明显而相对稳定,东北北部、包括长江中下游的东南部地区和西部广大地区降水增加,而华北地区以及东北东南部和西北东部地区降水明显减少。分析还发现,近50a来全国平均的日照时数、平均风速、水面蒸发等气候要素均呈显著下降趋势,但积雪地带的最大积雪深度却有所增加。中国日照时间和水面蒸发量变化的空间特征很相似,减少最明显的地区均发生在华北和华东,新疆次之。影响中国年代以上尺度气候变化的因子错综复杂,人类活动引起的大气中温室气体浓度增高可能在一定程度上影响了中国近50 a来的气候,但考虑到尚存的不确定性,目前仍不能给出明确结论。中国东部大部分地区日照时间和水面蒸发量减少可能均起源于人为排放的气溶胶影响,平均风速减弱也有利于水面蒸发量下降,而在西部地区云量和降水量的变化可能更重要。  相似文献   

On the effect of a low viscosity asthenosphere on the temporal change of the geoid—A challenge for future gravity missions     

Gabriele Marquart  Bernhard Steinberger  Karen Niehuus 《Journal of Geodynamics》2005,39(5):493

New satellite technology to measure changes in the Earth’s gravity field gives new possibilities to detect layers of low viscosity inside the Earth. We used density models for the Earth mantle based on slab history as well as on tomography and fitted the viscosity by comparison of predicted gravity to the new CHAMP gravity model. We first confirm that the fit to the observed geoid is insensitive to the presence of a low viscosity anomaly in the upper mantle as long as the layer is thin ( 200 km) and the viscosity reduction is less than two orders of magnitude. Then we investigated the temporal change in geoid by comparing two stages of slablet sinking based on subduction history or by advection of tomography derived densities and compared the spectra of the geoid change for cases with and without a low viscosity layer, but about equal fit to the observed geoid. The presence of a low viscosity layer causes relaxation at smaller wavelength and thus leads to a spectrum with relatively stronger power in higher modes and a peak around degrees 5 and 6. Comparing the spectra to the expected degree resolution for GRACE data for a 5 years mission duration shows a weak possibility to detect changes in the Earth’s gravity field due to large scale mantle circulation, provided that other causes of geoid changes can be taken into account with sufficient accuracy. A discrimination between the two viscosity cases, however, demands a new generation of gravity field observing satellites.  相似文献